Based on current polling data (June 2024) and in spite of the backing of only a minority of voters, the Conservatives are projected to have a greater than 99% chance of winning a majority government.
How is this possible?
When progressive Canadians split their votes among the Liberals, the NDP, the Greens, and the Bloc Quebecois, it enables the CPC to win in ridings where most voters do not vote for the CPC.
Electoral cooperation is a strategy that can prevent vote splitting. It can take many forms, including only running a candidate of the party that is the clear front-runner, or running “paper” or token candidates for the parties least likely to win.
Electoral cooperation among progressive parties (whether formal or informal) has successfully prevented vote-splitting in many countries, including the French legislative election of 2017, and the federal elections in Germany and Chile in 2021, and when the Alliance merged with the Progressive Conservatives to form the Conservative Party of Canada in 2003. The 2022 Canadian federal election resulted in a Liberal minority, and the Liberals entered into a cooperation and supply agreement with the NDP to enable the government to function for a longer period of time. This cooperation agreement has been working. Our plan is to have all of the progressive parties cooperate.
Building this kind of cooperation between the parties takes time. It requires providing education and information to the general public. Using that knowledge, voters can call upon their representatives and riding associations to cooperate for the good of Canada, and our collective future. Education takes time. Similarly, it takes time to hold discussions within and between the parties to convince them to agree to move away from the status quo, and focus on building a common strategy for the election, and working together to address the multiple crises that Canadians are facing. Consequently, there is real urgency to get these actions and conversations started as quickly as possible.
Circumstances today dictate that the needs of Canadians must outweigh our traditional approach to party politics!